Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 2
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
CEN
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GOD
1 - 0
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
5 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
SLO
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SLO
1 - 2
GOD
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |