Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
GIM
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
3 - 2
CEN
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SLO
2 - 1
TIG
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
LAN
4 - 3
SLO
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SLO
2 - 4
ARS
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
SLO
0 - 3
ARS
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |