Rosario Central vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
LAN
2 - 1
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
CEN
0 - 0
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
EST
0 - 2
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1996 |
GIM
0 - 0
CEN
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1996 |
RAC
0 - 2
CEN
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 0
PLA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
BOC
1 - 1
SLO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1996 |
HUR
1 - 1
SLO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 1
BAN
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |