Rosario Central vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARS
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CEN
2 - 1
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 0
INS
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
UCH
3 - 2
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 0
VEL
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
IND
0 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
COL
2 - 2
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
QUI
0 - 0
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |