Rosario Central vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ATT
2 - 1
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
ALD
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 1
CEN
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 0
FER
50%
28%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 0
PAT
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 2
ATT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
PAT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
HUR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
PAT
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |