Rosario Central vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 3
CEN
41%
24%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CEN
1 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RAF
3 - 1
CEN
24%
24%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 1
CEN
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 2
TAL
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AME
0 - 0
OLI
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
COT
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
3 - 0
OLI
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 0
12O
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |