Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARS
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
FER
75%
18%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
CEN
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
1 - 0
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NOB
0 - 1
COL
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
NOB
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
NOB
0 - 0
TEM
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 0
NOB
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |