Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CEN
1 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 0
CEN
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 2
NOB
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 1
RAF
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
NOB
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |