Rosario Central vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
CEN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
CEN
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
INS
2 - 0
HUR
37%
29%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
GLP
1 - 3
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
INS
0 - 2
GOD
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
INS
0 - 2
IND
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
IRV
0 - 2
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |