Rosario Central vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 1
CEN
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
0 - 1
CEN
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
GIM
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DYJ
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
PAT
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 0
INS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
INS
0 - 0
ATT
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
INS
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
INS
0 - 1
OLI
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |