Rosario Central vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 2
SDM
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 0
CEN
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 2
TIG
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
RIV
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
VER
85%
12%
3%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
GRE
16%
26%
58%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
6 - 0
ECA
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 3
GRE
17%
26%
57%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 0
SLU
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |