Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 0
CEN
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMA
51%
25%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
EST
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEM
1 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ATT
2 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 1
GLP
73%
19%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
GLP
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 2
SMA
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 3
RAC
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
GLP
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |