Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-4
Rosario Central vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
GLP
0 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 0
CEN
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 1
HUR
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
CRI
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 2
FOR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |