Rosario Central vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
12O
1 - 0
CEN
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ALD
0 - 1
CEN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
3 - 1
BAN
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 0
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 2
CCS
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
GLP
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
ALD
54%
26%
21%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BAN
2 - 2
EST
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
SLO
42%
30%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CCS
1 - 1
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |