Rosario Central vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
INS
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
CEN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
CEN
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 1
GYT
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
CIB
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
5 - 0
CEN
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
RSA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |