Rosario Central vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
TAL
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
CEN
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 0
SMA
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 1
CEN
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
DYJ
0 - 0
BAN
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 1
ATT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 2
DYJ
39%
29%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |