Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-3
Rosario Central vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEN
3 - 3
CAU
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
COB
2 - 3
CEN
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ARG
4 - 0
CEN
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 2
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 2
CEN
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
COB
2 - 3
CEN
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
COB
3 - 0
SWA
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
OPE
2 - 2
COB
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ACS
1 - 0
COB
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |