Rosario Central vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 2
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 1
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 1
CEN
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
RIE
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
CEN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 1
CEN
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFC
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
UCV
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |