Rosario Central vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
COL
0 - 1
CEN
48%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
RIV
4 - 1
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 1
LAN
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 1
ALM
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
VEL
3 - 1
UCH
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 1
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 1
VEL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |