Rosario Central vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
RAC
3 - 1
CEN
43%
25%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CEN
2 - 0
GIM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
ATT
0 - 0
CEN
63%
22%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CEN
1 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
RAC
0 - 0
CEN
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
VEL
5 - 1
RAC
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
GIM
0 - 1
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATT
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
EST
4 - 2
VEL
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |