Rosario Central vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARG
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
BAN
3 - 0
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CEN
0 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
HUR
2 - 2
CEN
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIV
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
3 - 2
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |