Rosario Central vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 4
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
TEM
1 - 1
CEN
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 1
RIE
78%
16%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
CEN
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 4
BOC
33%
27%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOC
4 - 1
GOD
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
GBR
0 - 1
BOC
22%
25%
54%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |