Rosario Central vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEN
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 0
ARG
64%
23%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SLO
2 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CEN
4 - 0
GLP
56%
26%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 0
TIG
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 2
BOC
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 1
BOC
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 0
CDN
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |