Rosario Central vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 1
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
2 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
CAU
3 - 1
CEN
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
0 - 2
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
TAL
2 - 1
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 2
ARG
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 0
EME
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 0
BOC
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BOC
0 - 3
RIV
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |