Rosario Central vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 3
VEL
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CEN
3 - 0
DYJ
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
ALD
0 - 1
CEN
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CEN
2 - 2
CAU
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 3
BUC
36%
26%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DFR
1 - 2
BUC
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BUC
0 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 1
CEN
60%
23%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |