Rosario Central vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
INS
3 - 3
CEN
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 2
BUC
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
CEN
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
52%
28%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
CEN
23%
29%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
SMA
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
ATT
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 2
SMA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATT
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
DYJ
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |