Rosario Central vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAT
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 1
CEN
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
BEL
41%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SMA
3 - 0
CEN
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 1
ALM
62%
25%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 1
SMA
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
RAF
4 - 1
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
RAF
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
DYJ
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |