Rondoniense vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rondoniense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
REC
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
CAR
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
GEN
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
RIO
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CUI
4 - 0
LTD
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DBO
0 - 1
CUI
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
CUI
26%
30%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 2
ABC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
CUI
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |