River Plate vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
7 - 0
CEN
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
4 - 1
MIL
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
SAP
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 0
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
DAL
0 - 0
UAI
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 3
DAL
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 0
DAL
58%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DAL
3 - 0
MOR
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MIT
0 - 1
DAL
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |