Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 1-2
River Plate vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1998 |
VAS
1 - 0
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1998 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARG
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
RIV
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
COL
1 - 3
RIV
23%
22%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 1
COL
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1998 |
VAS
1 - 0
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 1
VAS
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
VAS
0 - 0
CRZ
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VAS
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |