River Plate vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
ALI
0 - 2
RIV
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
0 - 3
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
1 - 2
RIV
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
LAR
0 - 0
UNI
51%
21%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
MIR
2 - 2
UNI
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALI
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |