Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 3-2
River Plate vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
PLA
2 - 1
RIV
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 2
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
RIV
4 - 0
HUR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1996 |
RIV
1 - 1
SLO
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
GIM
1 - 4
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 2
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1996 |
BSC
1 - 1
UCH
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
BSC
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 1
UCH
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
UCH
3 - 2
DEF
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |