River Plate vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 2
RIV
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
QUI
67%
21%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
RIV
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 4
RIV
24%
28%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 1
LAN
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
CAU
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 0
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 3
CAU
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 0
SAR
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |