River Plate vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
RIV
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
SAR
70%
20%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
6 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
RIV
22%
26%
53%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
TRU
12%
24%
64%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TRU
2 - 1
STR
30%
25%
44%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
MON
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
6 - 0
TRU
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
TRU
0 - 0
ATL
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |