River Plate vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
RIV
1 - 0
HUR
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 3
SAO
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
CEN
3 - 0
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIV
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
GOD
0 - 0
TFE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
TFE
1 - 0
DYJ
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SMA
0 - 1
TFE
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
TFE
0 - 1
DEF
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
TFE
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |