River Plate vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 2
RIV
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
QUI
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
RIV
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 4
RIV
24%
28%
48%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
61%
24%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 0
TIG
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
AUR
68%
20%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 0
PUE
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |