River Plate vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
RAC
0 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
BOC
2 - 5
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEN
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
SPC
0 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1978 |
SPC
3 - 0
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 0
OPE
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 4
ALI
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 1
SPC
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |