River Plate vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
CHA
1 - 1
RIV
20%
24%
55%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 2
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1967 |
SLO
3 - 2
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 2
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1967 |
SFE
1 - 2
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
PAL
4 - 1
SFE
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 2
PAL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |