River Plate vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 1
ARS
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SLO
5 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 0
EST
30%
28%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 2
TIG
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 2
SMA
57%
26%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
3 - 0
IND
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 0
SMA
47%
27%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |