River Plate vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
LAN
5 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
ARG
2 - 0
RIV
27%
30%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 0
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAU
2 - 2
RIV
27%
29%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
EST
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 2
SMA
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 3
SMA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 1
LAN
33%
30%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |