River Plate vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 3
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
FCB
4%
11%
84%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIV
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
HUR
2 - 2
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 3
HUR
56%
24%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
IND
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAF
0 - 1
SLO
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
2 - 0
TEM
69%
21%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
SLO
34%
30%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |