River Plate vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1996 |
LAN
3 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
RIV
3 - 0
COL
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1996 |
EST
0 - 1
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
RIV
3 - 0
GIM
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1996 |
CEN
2 - 5
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1996 |
SLO
4 - 2
CAH
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1996 |
LAN
3 - 1
SLO
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
SLO
4 - 1
COL
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1996 |
EST
1 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |