River Plate vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
RIV
2 - 1
BAN
72%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 4
RIV
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1996 |
MIN
1 - 2
RIV
7%
19%
74%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
VEL
3 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
RIV
3 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
ESP
2 - 0
SLO
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 2
EST
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 1
SLO
22%
23%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
MIN
2 - 2
SLO
6%
16%
78%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
RAC
1 - 0
SLO
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |