River Plate vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 2
RIV
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 3
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 1
RIV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 2
RIV
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
IND
1 - 3
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 2
NOB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
RAC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |