River Plate vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 1
RIV
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 2
SLO
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 3
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 3
FCB
4%
11%
84%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
OLI
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
QUI
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
HUR
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 0
SMA
50%
27%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |