River Plate vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 2
RIV
30%
30%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 2
RAC
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
RIV
40%
29%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
RIV
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 0
GLP
37%
29%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
ARG
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
OLI
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
QUI
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |