River Plate vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NOB
4 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 1
JUN
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 0
ARS
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
JUN
0 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
QUI
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 2
INS
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ARG
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAN
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
QUI
2 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |