River Plate vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
BEL
1 - 0
RIV
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
5 - 0
CER
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 2
SLO
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
IND
1 - 4
RIV
47%
25%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
RIV
2 - 0
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
IND
0 - 1
PEÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
CER
0 - 2
PEÑ
46%
23%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
36%
31%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
IND
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
PEÑ
3 - 3
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |