River Plate vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
0 - 0
RIV
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
IND
2 - 1
RIV
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
RIV
1 - 0
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RIV
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
IND
2 - 4
PEÑ
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RIV
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |