River Plate vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
GLP
0 - 1
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 2
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RIV
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1986 |
TAL
1 - 1
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
0 - 2
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
PEÑ
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RIV
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1986 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
BOC
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1986 |
MWA
3 - 1
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |